The end of the Great Keynesian Experiment is upon us. Prepare accordingly.
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May BLSBS

By TF 19 Comments | 8 Likes Boy, just when you think you've seen it all, even a grizzled old veteran such as myself still has the capacity to be stunned into laughter. I'm not talking about the actual BLSBS data, instead it's the so-called "market" reaction that followed. Let's start with the BLSBS. In a few interviews I've done of late,...

Fri May 3, 2024 17:50
TFMR Podcast - Thursday, May 2

With TF 7 Comments | 4 Likes All is quiet on the western front ahead of one last big data day on Friday. Might the BLSBS finally roll over a little and grant us some relief from the two weeks of near constant selling pressure? Maybe. We'll know by 8:30 ET tomorrow. For today, we simply try to summarize how we to where we are. Prices have...

Fri May 3, 2024 01:22
Controlled Descent

By TF 14 Comments | 8 Likes Like Tuesday, we had another straight down chart on our hands as price fell overnight, nearly uninterrupted in a straight line and in what felt like a predetermined glide path. Well, that's quite a sentence and not a fun way to start the day. Keep in mind that the Chinese markets are closed for the remainder of...

Thu May 2, 2024 18:22
TFMR Podcast - Wednesday, May 1

With TF 10 Comments | 10 Likes What an interesting afternoon. Jerry didn't say much but that didn't keep things from banging in both directions. And then, just after the NYSE close, we got what appeared to be our second yentervention of the week. So what will tomorrow bring? Perhaps more importantly, what will Friday bring? But we can worry...

Thu May 2, 2024 03:17
May Day

By TF 26 Comments | 7 Likes It's The Socialist Worker's Holiday! It's also a data dump day. It's also FOMC Fedline day. And it's also the 13th anniversary of the May Day Silver Massacre. That's a lot to cover. Let's get started. I don't know. I guess we'll begin with the data thus far. ADP jobs report slightly stronger than expected ...

Wed May 1, 2024 19:00
TFMR Podcast - Tuesday, April 30

With TF 12 Comments | 10 Likes The selling began as I recorded yesterday's podcast and has continued through the recording of today's podcast. When was the last time CDG and CDS traded straight UP at a 45-degree angle for 24+ hours? Actually, that's a trick question. It has never happened and very likely never will. But it is what it is and...

Wed May 1, 2024 02:04

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