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The Adversarial: February 22

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below. *** Russia The Russian leadership has been pushing forward its agenda on multiple fronts recently. Domestically, the death of opposition leader Alexei Navalny in prison...

Fri Feb 23, 2024 20:39
Red Sea Shocks and the New More Stable Normal

You can’t choke a dead horse. Anyone who has studied geopolitics, particularly in the context of energy, has learned that control over waterways — most notably the Suez Canal — translates into influence, as actors can threaten to disrupt energy supplies. But they also know that leverage is limited: Commerce invariably adjusts to disruptions and markets...

Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:48
The United States and Afghanistan Before the Soviet Invasion

In this episode of Horns of a Dilemma, Aaron O’Connell, associate professor of history at the University of Texas at Austin and director of research for the Clements Center for National Security, hosts a discussion with Rob Rakove,  a lecturer in Stanford University’s Program in International Relations. They discuss Rakove’s new book, Days of Opportunity:...

Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:48
Rewind and Reconnoiter: Helping India Replace Russia in the Value Arms Market

Welcome to Rewind & Reconnoiter. Each week, we’ll ask one of our authors to look back at an article they’ve written for War on the Rocks in light of a current news event. Did their argument hold up? Read more below to find out. *** In 2022, Vasabjit Banerjee and Benjamin Tkach wrote “Helping India Replace Russia in the Value Arms Market” for War...

Thu Feb 22, 2024 20:36
How Was Israel Caught Off-Guard?

Hamas’ Oct. 7 attacks did not happen out of the blue. They were preceded by years of bitter conflict, ever since the group consolidated its control of the Gaza Strip in 2007. Months later, it remains deeply puzzling how Israel was caught so woefully unprepared. Conventional explanations advanced over the years by numerous scholars and practitioners...

Thu Feb 22, 2024 10:45
Sanctions Are Working, And Can Work Even Better

Russia sanctions have hit yacht owners hard. But they have impacted people who travel by more modest means as well. In February 2022, Moscow commuters crowded behind subway turnstiles, searching for coins when their Apple and Google Pay access was cut off. The sanctions and export controls imposed following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022 were...

Thu Feb 22, 2024 10:45

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